COVID-19 New Cases Show A Decline, But Experts Warn Against Complacency As India Gears Up Vaccination In Phases

COVID-19 New Cases Show A Decline, But Experts Warn Against Complacency As India Gears Up Vaccination In Phases

Dr Arvind Kumar, Chairman, Institute of Chest Surgery, Medanta Hospital says, social distancing, wearing of mask and hand hygiene are the three main pillars of fight against Coronavirus
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COVID-19 New Cases Show A Decline, But Experts Warn Against Complacency As India Gears Up Vaccination In PhasesCOVID-19 cases in India peaked on September 17 when the nation reported a record rise of around 98,000 fresh cases
Highlights
  • Lately, India has been reporting less than 30,000 new COVID-19 cases
  • The next four to six months could be the worst of the pandemic: Bill Gates
  • 30 crore people in 3 priority groups will be vaccinated first against COVI

New Delhi: On December 21, for the eighth consecutive day, India reported less than 30,000 new COVID-19 cases. The daily growth in COVID-19 cases in the country peaked on September 17 when the country reported a record rise of around 98,000 fresh cases but after that, a decline is being seen. If the current trend continues, by the end of December it is being speculated that not more than 20,000 cases are likely to get detected every day. Talking to NDTV about India’s current COVID-19 trends, Dr Arvind Kumar, Chairman, Institute of Chest Surgery, Medanta Hospital, said, the number of cases coming down is a matter of satisfaction but there is also a need to not be complacent. He said,

This is a very dangerous, highly infectious virus. You take measures and it gets controlled, you lower your guard and don’t take measures and it will rebound with 10 times the number. The situation is that the numbers are coming under control but that should not lead people into complacency and lead people to say goodbye to masks, social distancing and hand hygiene.

Also Read: Santa Claus Sanitises Public Places In Mumbai And Distributes Masks

In an interview with CNN on December 13, Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates and co-chair of the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation that has been a part of the effort to develop and deliver COVID-19 vaccines, warned that the next four to six months could be the worst of the pandemic. He said,

The IHME (Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation) forecast shows over 2 lakh additional deaths. If we would follow the rules, in terms of wearing masks and not mixing, we could avoid a large percentage of those deaths.

While COVID-19 numbers in India are coming down, Mr Gates’ prediction seems frightening. This at a time when various vaccine candidates against COVID-19 are getting emergency use authorisation and there seems to be a light appearing at the end of the tunnel.

Talking about Mr Gates’ prediction and the hope of a vaccine soon, Dr Kumar said,

What we have learned from this pandemic in the last 11 months is that social distancing, wearing of a mask and hand hygiene are the three main pillars on which control or otherwise of this virus rests. We were very hopeful about a large number of medicines, well, they are there, but I don’t think anything has proved to be more effective than these three basic measures. Today, everybody is pinning their hopes on a vaccine, there is so much buzz about the vaccine but I want to issue a note of caution here that first of all, vaccines will become effective when a significantly large, that is over 70 per cent of the population has been vaccinated and has developed adequate antibodies which is quite a task for the entire world to do that much vaccination. Till the time we achieve that we will have to continue using these three precautions.

Also Read: Vaccination For COVID-19 Will Be Voluntary, Advisable To Receive Complete Schedule Of Vaccine: Health Ministry

Dr Kumar added that Mr Gates’ prediction is based on the basis of an analysis done by IHME and the fact that people have bid adieu to basic COVID precautionary measures which is resulting in a massive rise in the number of cases and deaths.

Dr Kumar also noted that the news of vaccine has created a buzz among people who now believe that vaccine has come so there is no need for social distancing. He added,

This is going to lead to a disaster and that’s something which we should warn people again and again because this might lead to a third or fourth massive spike in the number of cases if that happens.

Dr Kumar informs that typically, the process of vaccine development takes a minimum of five to six years whereas the total duration we have had with this pandemic is about a year. He lauded the scientists working on the development of a vaccine and making it available within a span of a year but also noted that a lot of things about a vaccine are still unknown. He said,

I must say that a lot of things which otherwise would have been done in the process of vaccine development have been kept on hold and they are being given emergency use authorisation for obvious reasons which is the right thing to do. There are many aspects of this vaccine that we don’t know. For example, we don’t know how long these antibodies will last in the body and will continue to be effective in preventing the viral. Having an antibody is one thing and that antibody being able to protect the person from infection or reinfection is another issue that needs to be checked and tested on a long term basis. These studies are still going on. There is a lot of data which is available but there is a huge amount of data which still needs to be generated which will answer many of the unanswered questions as of today.

Also Read: COVID-19 Vaccines Not A Silver Bullet To End The Pandemic: World Health Organisation

But will a vaccine against COVID-19 end the pandemic? The World Health Organisation (WHO) says a vaccine is not a silver bullet. In a media briefing on December 4, WHO Director General Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said,

Even as vaccines are rolled out, people will need to keep adhering to public health measures so that everyone is protected.

In India, to begin with, a small percentage of people will be vaccinated which according to AIIMS Director Dr Randeep Guleria will take four to six months. The government’s National Expert Group on Vaccine Administration for COVID-19 (NEGVAC) has recommended vaccinating 30 crore people in three priority groups – 1 crore healthcare workers (HCWs), healthcare providers and workers in a healthcare setting; 2 crore frontline Workers; 27 crore prioritised age group population above 50 years and persons below 50 years with associated co-morbidities. However, Dr Guleria is hopeful that the chain of transmission of Coronavirus can be broken in six months. While talking to NDTV, he said,

In the next six months, we will have two things, one is we will have a sufficient number of individuals who have got infected and recovered and have some degree of immunity and the vaccine itself will also provide some immunity so as to break the chain of the transmission and bring down mortality. I am not saying that COVID will go away in six months, COVID will stay for quite some time but we will be in a much better position to say that we are now back to near normal. But I think we will have to wait maybe for a year or so before we can say that yes, we have now really gone to what we call post pandemic phase.

Before signing off, Dr Kumar reiterated the importance of COVID-19 precautionary measures and called for being very careful and cautious in opening educational institutions, malls, markets, gymnasiums, parlous, and all those areas where close face to face contact is possible or a large number of people can gather in a small area. He said,

More the pool of infected people, faster the infection will spread. So, I again stress, vaccine or no vaccine, lowering of numbers or no lowering of numbers, mask, social distancing, and hand hygiene are here to stay for the next six months at least. If we don’t do that, we will face the consequences.

Also Read: Coronavirus Outbreak: Experts Discuss Road To Recovery From COVID

NDTV – Dettol Banega Swasth India campaign is an extension of the five-year-old Banega Swachh India initiative helmed by Campaign Ambassador Amitabh Bachchan. It aims to spread awareness about critical health issues facing the country. In wake of the current COVID-19 pandemic, the need for WASH (WaterSanitation and Hygiene) is reaffirmed as handwashing is one of the ways to prevent Coronavirus infection and other diseases. The campaign highlights the importance of nutrition and healthcare for women and children to prevent maternal and child mortality, fight malnutrition, stunting, wasting, anaemia and disease prevention through vaccines. Importance of programmes like Public Distribution System (PDS), Mid-day Meal Scheme, POSHAN Abhiyan and the role of Aganwadis and ASHA workers are also covered. Only a Swachh or clean India where toilets are used and open defecation free (ODF) status achieved as part of the Swachh Bharat Abhiyan launched by Prime Minister Narendra Modi in 2014, can eradicate diseases like diahorrea and become a Swasth or healthy India. The campaign will continue to cover issues like air pollutionwaste managementplastic banmanual scavenging and sanitation workers and menstrual hygiene

World

11,44,39,444Cases
4,72,68,840Active
6,46,32,262Recovered
25,38,342Deaths
Coronavirus has spread to 192 countries. The total confirmed cases worldwide are 11,44,39,444 and 25,38,342 have died; 4,72,68,840 are active cases and 6,46,32,262 have recovered as on March 2, 2021 at 4:00 am.

India

1,11,24,527 12286Cases
1,68,358 -269Active
1,07,98,921 12464Recovered
1,57,248 91Deaths
In India, there are 1,11,24,527 confirmed cases including 1,57,248 deaths. The number of active cases is 1,68,358 and 1,07,98,921 have recovered as on March 2, 2021 at 2:30 am.

State & District Details

State Cases Active Recovered Deaths
DistrictCases
Mumbai45,478
Thane13,660
Pune9,920
Mumbai Suburban5,363
Aurangabad1,974
Nashik1,575
Raigad1,462
Palghar1,421
Solapur1,291
Jalgaon1,039
Akola757
Nagpur692
Kolhapur646
Satara629
Ratnagiri350
Amravati291
Dhule228
Hingoli208
Jalna201
Ahmednagar190
Nanded176
Yavatmal150
Sangli145
Latur139
Osmanabad125
Sindhudurg114
Buldhana88
Parbhani78
gondia69
Beed54
Nandurbar42
Gadchiroli42
Bhandara41
Chandrapur32
Washim13
Wardha11

21,61,467 6,397

78,825 613

20,30,458 5,754

52,184 30

DistrictCases
Kannur357
Kasaragod333
Palakkad224
Malappuram119
Kollam118
Thrissur106
Thiruvananthapuram104
Pathanamthitta98
Kozhikode90
Alappuzha76
Kottayam73
Ernakulam60
Idukki40
Wayanad36

10,61,341 1,938

48,159 1,550

10,08,972 3,475

4,210 13

DistrictCases
Udupi1,176
Kalaburagi669
Yadgir538
Bengaluru Urban529
Raichur369
Mandya346
Belagavi337
Bidar219
Hassan205
Davangere204
Vijayapura201
Dakshina Kannada179
Chikkaballapura149
Mysuru107
Bagalkote103
Uttara Kannada95
Shivamogga67
Dharwad61
Ballari60
Gadag45
Bengaluru Rural40
Tumakuru36
Kolar29
Haveri24
Chikkamagaluru19
Chitradurga14
Koppal5
Kodagu4
Ramanagara3
Chamarajanagara0

9,51,600 349

5,843 20

9,33,421 324

12,336 5

DistrictCases
Kurnool795
Krishna557
Guntur511
Anantapur428
East Godavari356
Chittoor319
Sri Potti Sriramulu Nell*296
Y.S.R.205
West Godavari199
Srikakulam183
Prakasam104
Visakhapatnam103
Vizianagaram23

8,89,974 58

725 7

8,82,080 51

7,169

DistrictCases
Chennai23,324
Chengalpattu1,314
Thiruvallur774
Villupuram509
Kanchipuram503
Tiruvannamalai496
Cuddalore477
Ariyalur444
Tirunelveli433
Tuticorin333
Kallakurichi324
Madurai322
Salem258
Coimbatore188
Virudhunagar185
Dindigul175
Perambalur133
Ranipet133
Thanjavur130
Theni129
Tiruchirappalli119
Ramanathapuram119
Tiruppur116
Kanniyakumari110
Tenkasi103
Nagapattinam99
Karur88
Namakkal83
Erode75
Vellore71
Thiruvarur67
Pudukkottai53
Sivaganga46
Tirupathur45
Krishnagiri43
The Nilgiris17
Dharmapuri15

8,52,016 474

4,009 13

8,35,506 482

12,501 5

DistrictCases
North West5,463
Central4,817
West4,768
New Delhi3,405
North3,059
East2,472
South East2,446
South West2,391
South2,329
North East1,914
Shahdara1,580

6,39,464 175

1,404 69

6,27,149 105

10,911 1

DistrictCases
Gautam Buddha Nagar1,119
Agra933
Ghaziabad794
Meerut504
Lucknow386
Saharanpur298
Kanpur Nagar286
Moradabad252
Varanasi243
Hapur225
Aligarh215
Basti214
Amethi206
Rampur203
Jaunpur194
Firozabad190
Barabanki168
Gorakhpur166
Bulandshahr166
Siddharth Nagar159
Ghazipur159
Bijnor157
Deoria143
Azamgarh138
Sant Kabeer Nagar132
Mathura129
Ayodhya120
Muzaffarnagar117
Sambhal116
Sultanpur97
Ambedkar Nagar92
Maharajganj85
Amroha80
Rae Bareli78
Bahraich73
Kheri72
Kannauj69
Baghpat68
Kushi Nagar67
Bhadohi60
Ballia60
Gonda59
Etah52
Hardoi49
Balrampur49
Mau48
Mainpuri46
Etawah46
Hathras43
Unnao42
Jalaun41
Jhansi41
Shamli40
Chandauli38
Auraiya37
Farrukhabad36
Sitapur32
Prayagraj30
Banda27
Shahjahanpur25
Shravasti23
Budaun23
Mirzapur22
Bareilly17
Kasganj16
Pratapgarh15
Pilibhit15
Sonbhadra10
Kaushambi6
Kanpur Dehat4
Chitrakoot4
Lalitpur3
Hamirpur3
Mahoba3
Fatehpur3

6,03,608 81

2,078 25

5,92,803 104

8,727 2

DistrictCases
Kolkata2,777
Howrah1,435
24 Paraganas North1,031
Hooghly604
24 Paraganas South281
Maldah235
Dinajpur Uttar216
Coochbehar210
Birbhum206
Medinipur West159
Medinipur East153
Nadia139
Purba Bardhaman130
Murshidabad125
Bankura116
Darjeeling97
Jalpaiguri88
Paschim Bardhaman70
Purulia66
Dinajpur Dakshin50
Alipurduar39
Kalimpong18
Jhargram9

5,75,316 198

3,293 14

5,61,755 212

10,268

DistrictCases
Ganjam581
Jajapur322
Khordha238
Baleshwar190
Kendrapara164
Cuttack155
Bhadrak137
Balangir129
Puri103
Sundargarh102
Jagatsinghapur91
Nayagarh86
Mayurbhanj73
Nuapada69
Gajapati61
Dhenkanal36
Boudh34
Kendujhar34
Deogarh33
Kalahandi33
Sonepur29
Kandhamal28
Anugul26
Malkangiri20
Bargarh16
Koraput16
Sambalpur16
Jharsuguda8
Nabarangpur2
Rayagada2

3,37,277 86

714 10

3,34,647 76

1,916

DistrictCases
Jaipur2,177
Jodhpur1,748
Udaipur724
Bharatpur563
Kota503
Nagaur500
Ajmer379
Dungarpur374
Pali352
Jhalawar329
Bhilwara250
Sikar231
Chittorgarh188
Tonk171
Jalore164
Rajsamand140
Sirohi130
Bikaner112
Banswara91
Alwar90
Churu81
Jhunjhunu64
Dausa61
Dholpur60
Baran59
Jaisalmer53
Barmer34
Hanumangarh31
SawaiMadhopur26
Karauli17
Pratapgarh14
Ganganagar8
Bundi5

3,20,455 119

1,304 4

3,16,364 123

2,787

DistrictCases
Bilaspur100
Korba100
Mungeli87
Baloda Bazar85
Jashpur77
Janjgir-Champa56
Mahasamund54
Rajnandgaon52
Kabirdham52
Raigarh47
Raipur46
Balod41
Korea39
Durg31
Bemetara21
Kanker19
Balrampur17
Surguja14
Gariyaband10
Surajpur9
Dhamtari6
Bijapur2
Bastar2
Dantewada0
Kondagaon0
Narayanpur0
Sukma0

3,12,816 256

2,880 106

3,06,094 143

3,842 7

DistrictCases
Hyderabad2,475
Ranga Reddy183
Suryapet87
Jagitial77
Nizamabad76
MedchalMalkajgiri75
Mancherial43
YadadriBhuvanagiri40
Jogulamba Gadwal40
Vikarabad40
Nalgonda33
Warangal Urban32
Mahabubnagar30
Sangareddy26
Khammam26
Adilabad22
Nirmal21
Karimnagar17
RajannaSircilla16
Medak11
Kamareddy11
Mahabubabad10
Jayashankar Bhupalapally9
Nagarkurnool8
Kumuram Bheem Asifabad8
Jangoan8
Siddipet7
Peddapalli5
Bhadradri Kothagudem5
Warangal Rural4
Mulugu3
Narayanpet3
Wanaparthy1

2,99,086 163

1,907 5

2,95,544 157

1,635 1

DistrictCases
Gurugram2,950
Faridabad867
Sonipat404
Rohtak145
Palwal120
Jhajjar114
Karnal104
Hisar98
Ambala93
Panipat78
Nuh68
Bhiwani60
Rewari56
Kurukshetra55
Sirsa50
Kaithal48
Mahendragarh47
CharkiDadri43
Panchkula39
Fatehabad38
Jind38
Yamunanagar19

2,70,950 166

1,288 13

2,66,612 151

3,050 2

DistrictCases
Ahmadabad17,125
Surat2,311
Vadodara1,555
Gandhinagar410
Mahesana159
Banas Kantha147
Bhavnagar146
Rajkot135
Arvalli134
Mahisagar125
Anand107
PanchMahals107
Patan105
SabarKantha101
Kachchh99
Kheda98
Jamnagar63
Bharuch56
Botad55
Surendranagar55
Valsad47
GirSomnath45
Dohad43
Chhotaudepur37
Naysari35
Junagadh31
Narmada25
DevbhumiDwarka22
Amreli16
Porbandar11
Tapi6
Dang5
Morbi4

2,70,316 427

2,431 68

2,63,475 359

4,410

DistrictCases
Patna279
Bhagalpur266
Rohtas256
Khagaria253
Begusarai243
Madhubani199
Munger188
Jehanabad178
Katihar175
Darbhanga143
Samastipur139
Siwan139
PurbiChamparan138
Purnia135
Banka134
Buxar134
Nalanda123
Gopalganj123
Nawada122
Sheikhpura118
Gaya115
Kaimur (bhabua)105
Bhojpur103
Saran101
Muzaffarpur96
Saharsa88
Supaul87
Vaishali87
Madhepura82
Kishanganj75
Aurangabad75
Sitamarhi73
Lakhisarai72
Araria68
Pashchim Champaran57
Arwal52
Jamui47
Sheohar20

2,62,556 22

370 29

2,60,645 51

1,541

DistrictCases
Indore3,839
Bhopal1,880
Ujjain799
Burhanpur351
Neemuch319
Jabalpur276
East Nimar266
Sagar228
Gwalior211
Khargone196
Dewas140
Dhar132
Mandsaur112
Morena109
Bhind87
Raisen71
Barwani60
Ratlam51
Rewa39
Shajapur39
Hoshangabad37
Vidisha37
Chhatarpur35
Betul35
Rajgarh31
Dindori29
Sheopur26
Damoh26
Satna24
Anuppur22
Panna20
Tikamgarh18
Sidhi17
Narsinghpur17
Chhindwara16
Agar Malwa15
Mandla15
Shivpuri15
Jhabua14
Shandol14
Singrauli13
Ashoknagar13
Datia12
Sehore12
Umaria10
Balaghat9
Guna8
Harda4
Alirajpur3
Katni3
Seoni2
Niwari0

2,62,102 336

2,901 116

2,55,336 219

3,865 1

DistrictCases
Kamrup Metro276
Golaghat203
Nagaon143
Hojai89
Dima Hasao86
Karimganj85
Tinsukia84
Cachar80
Dibrugarh61
Hailakandi57
Lakhimpur57
Marigaon50
Dhemaji47
Kamrup42
Kokrajhar37
Dhubri30
Charaideo29
Barpeta28
Udalguri28
Sonitpur27
Jorhat24
Nalbari23
Darrang20
Sivasagar20
Goalpara19
Biswanath16
Baksa14
KarbiAnglong13
Bongaigaon12
Chirang6
West KarbiAnglong5
South SalmaraMancachar4
Majuli2

2,17,570 33

1,631 16

2,14,846 16

1,093 1

DistrictCases
Amritsar485
Jalandhar297
Ludhiana293
Tarn Taran163
Gurdaspur154
Hoshiarpur140
S.A.S Nagar137
Patiala132
Sangrur107
Shahid Bhagat Singh Nagar (Nawanshahr)99
Pathankot86
Rupnagar (Ropar)74
Faridkot74
Sri Muktsar Sahib71
Moga65
Bathinda60
Fatehgarh Sahib57
Fazilka53
Firozepur50
Kapurthala44
Mansa31
Barnala25

1,82,809 633

4,853 221

1,72,106 394

5,850 18

DistrictCases
Anantnag395
Srinagar300
Kulgam295
Baramulla271
Shopian255
Kupwara231
Bandipora175
Udhampur155
Ramban151
Jammu138
Budgam110
Pulwama108
Kathua53
Rajouri39
Ganderbal37
Poonch35
Doda27
Reasi26
Samba25
Kishtwar10
Mirpur0
Muzaffarabad0

1,26,504 63

829 6

1,23,717 56

1,958 1

DistrictCases
East Singhbum170
Ranchi148
Hazaribagh110
Garhwa80
Ramgarh75
Koderma58
Simdega48
Dhanbad32
Gumla28
Palamu27
West Singhbhum21
SaraikelaKharsawan20
Giridih19
Bokaro16
Latehar14
Khunti10
Lohardaga8
Deoghar5
Dumka5
Pakur4
Jamtara2
Godda2
Chatra1
Sahebganj0

1,19,986 37

485 9

1,18,411 46

1,090

DistrictCases
Dehradun370
Nainital323
Tehri Garhwal110
Haridwar94
Udam Singh Nagar83
Almora71
Champawat45
Pithoragarh43
Chamoli36
PauriGarhwal36
Bageshwar31
Rudraprayag30
Uttar Kashi24

97,031

459 30

94,880 30

1,692

DistrictCases
Hamirpur117
Kangra105
Una41
Solan32
Chamba29
Bilaspur21
Mandi21
Sirmaur11
Shimla10
Kullu4
Kinnaur2
Lahaul And Spiti0

58,777 132

434 116

57,347 15

996 1

DistrictCases
South Goa69
North Goa57

55,026 40

583 23

53,647 62

796 1

DistrictCases
Pondicherry111
Mahe4
Karaikal2
Yanam0

39,734 9

177 8

38,888 16

669 1

DistrictCases
Dhalai196
Sepahijala174
Gomati74
South Tripura53
Unakoti49
West Tripura45
Khowai24
North Tripura14

33,420 3

42 3

32,987

391

DistrictCases
Churachandpur32
Kangpokpi26
Imphal West21
Thoubal18
Imphal East10
Tengnoupal9
Bishnupur7
Senapati6
Chandel5
Kamjong5
Ukhrul4
Jiribam3
Pherzawl3
Kakching2
Tamenglong2
Noney1

29,274 1

30 3

28,871 4

373

DistrictCases
Chandigarh313

21,839 69

430 49

21,056 19

353 1

DistrictCases
Changlang31
Papum Pare8
Lohit3
Namsai2
West Siang1
East Siang1
Upper Siang1
Tawang1
PakkeKessang1
West Kameng0
Upper Subansiri0
Tirap0
Siang0
Shi Yomi0
Anjaw0
Lower Subansiri0
Lower Dibang Valley0
Longding0
Leparada0
KurungKumey0
KraDaadi0
Kamle0
East Kameng0
Dibang Valley0
Lower Siang0

16,837 1

1 1

16,780

56

DistrictCases
East Khasi Hills22
West Garo Hills5
South West Garo Hills4
North Garo Hills1
West Jaintia Hills1
West Khasi Hills1
East Garo Hills0
East Jaintia Hills0
Ribhoi0
South Garo Hills0
South West Khasi Hills0

13,963 1

17 0

13,798 1

148

DistrictCases
Dimapur20
Mon8
Kohima7
Kiphire3
Tuensang3
Peren2
Phek1
Longleng0
Mokokchung0
Wokha0
Zunheboto0

12,200

7 0

12,102

91

DistrictCases
Kargil77
LehLadakh43

9,819 1

46 7

9,643 8

130

DistrictCases
East District3
South District3
North District0
West District0

6,145

45 1

5,965 1

135

DistrictCases
South Andamans33
Nicobars1
North And Middle Andaman1

5,020

6 0

4,952

62

DistrictCases
Kolasib11
Aizawl10
Mamit8
Lawngtlai2
Lunglei2
Saitual1
Champhai0
Hnahthial0
Khawzawl0
Saiha0
Serchhip0

4,426 3

20 0

4,396 3

10

DistrictCases
Dadra And Nagar Haveli20

3,406

4 0

3,400

2

DistrictCases
Lakshadweep District0

397 15

128 8

268 7

1

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