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India Needs To Be Well Prepared For The Third Wave: Cardiologist Devi Shetty

Cardiac surgeon Dr Devi Shetty explains what hospitals, individuals and authorities should do to tackle the worse outcomes of the third wave of COVID-19 in the country

India Needs To Be Well Prepared For The Third Wave: Cardiologist Devi Shetty

New Delhi: As India’s second wave surge of Covid-19 seems to be receding, experts and doctors warn people and authorities about the possible third wave, which could be worse than second wave situation in the country. NDTV speaks with Cardiac surgeon Dr Devi Shetty, who heads the expert committee of doctors set up by the Karnataka government to prepare for a possible third coronavirus wave. Dr Shetty talks about the importance of vaccination ahead of the next wave, what individuals and authorities should work on and how can together as a community, India can reduce the effect of the coming wave, if it hits the country by September or early next year.

Here’s the full interview with Dr Devi Shetty on how to prepare for Covid-19 third wave:

Also Read: Two Doses Of COVID Vaccine ‘Highly Effective’ In Reducing Hospitalisation From The Delta Variant: UK Analysis

NDTV: When is the third wave anticipated to hit India?

Dr Devi Prasad Shetty: I think, no one can predict the same. Whether it will be as severe as the second wave, or will it involve children particularly. However, what we can do is prepare ourselves to deal with the third wave, which could happen in September, October, November or next year. We need to also prepare ourselves that the third wave will be as bad as second wave or at least 30 per cent severe than the second one because we need to be prepared for worst case scenarios. Also, we should be prepared for children getting infected by this virus in the next wave as that is what is being predicted.

NDTV: What is the role of vaccination to control the third wave in India? How important it is to scale up our vaccination drive?

Dr Devi Prasad Shetty: Today, we have an option to convert the entire third wave into a wave which infects people with common cold. All the trials of vaccine that have happened around the world show that people who have got vaccinated don’t land up in the hospital ICUs and need oxygen support. But the question is will we be able to vaccinate adequate number of people before the third wave. Now everyone thinks the availability of vaccine is a problem and the government will not be able to provide the vaccine, but it is not the case. The government will be able to provide the same within the next few months. The greatest stumbling block will not be the availability of the vaccine but the reluctance of people to get vaccinated. Every day we open more than 600 slots of vaccine, you know how many people actually land up – not even 150 and this is happening in areas where most educated people live, you can well imagine what will be the case in rural India. So, vaccine hesitancy is a big problem, and nobody is right now addressing it or campaigning for it. But over the years, it will be a big roadblock in our battle against the virus.

Also Read: Delta Plus, New COVID Variant Identified, Experts Say No Cause Of Concern For Now

NDTV: How do we tackle vaccine hesitancy in India?

Dr Devi Prasad Shetty: We need to make some kind of system in place, for example at workplaces, people who are vaccinated should be allowed to work together and those who are not, should be asked to work from home. Any public places like shops, malls, restaurants, people who are vaccinated should be allowed and others should have a separate space. Talking about Airlines, today they are asking for COVID test certificates, they should start with vaccination certificate, whoever has the same can fly without providing the COVID test certificate, who would want to go for tests every now and then – firstly it is not easy and secondly it is a discomfort. As a result of such practices, people will automatically embrace vaccine and we will see large number of people getting the vaccinated. I think for now that’s the only way to go ahead, we don’t have many options.

Also Read: UK Variant Of Coronavirus Is Spreading Four To Six Times Faster: Member Of Gujarat COVID Task Force

NDTV: Are vaccines available safe? What do we know about its effectiveness?

Dr Devi Prasad Shetty: You will know, how effective each of the vaccines are after two or three years. We should assume that all the vaccines are same as long as they are recognised in your country, so whatever vaccine is available, one should just go for it.

NDTV: Is it a right time for India to unlock or should the country open up gradually in phases?

Dr Devi Prasad Shetty: We cannot keep the establishments closed forever. One day or the other we will have to open and when we do, the virus which is highly active will come and get us. However, having said that there are certain things we can do for example if we stress on getting vaccination certificates from people who are running shops, certificates for any marketer who is selling one or the other things in the market and along with this we practice safe distancing, masking – with all these precautions, I think we can open up. When we started this battle, a year ago, we did not have any option but to stay in lockdown, but now we have vaccines, and we know even one dose of vaccination gives you so much protection. So, why don’t we change the entire narrative from when to open shops and when to do this to when do we start vaccinating more and more people. It is sad to see when we have 30,000 to 50,000 vaccine doses in our refrigerators, and nobody is coming to the hospitals to get vaccinated. The problem is many people haven’t seen the scenes from inside the ICUs, they don’t know the struggle of patients in the ICUs, when they are put on oxygen support, even after COVID-19 complications. When they will see this, they will all run to get themselves vaccinated.

Also Read: COVID-19 Appropriate Behaviour Will Not Let Any Variant Spread: AIIMS Chief On Current Surge And New Strain

NDTV: How should we manage a situation like shortage of beds and other COVID-19 essential supplies ahead of third wave? How should authorities prep themselves?

Dr Devi Prasad Shetty: Everyone thinks a bed will fix all the problems. First of all, we will need a dedicated nurse and a dedicated doctor to treat a particular patient, which we have a serious problem. We need to address this issue of shortage of healthcare staff on an urgent and exceptional basis. Secondly, we need to make sure we have as many as possible ICU beds connected with piped oxygen supply. It only takes Rs 10,000 to convert a normal ICU bed to one which is connected with piped oxygen supply. It is sad to see people in auto rickshaws with oxygen cylinders, it is sad to see people struggling for as basic thing as an oxygen bed. Now, we all have a window of opportunity to prepare ourselves, our healthcare services. We need to look at our small hospitals. Most of the people think, if it is a big hospital with 300 beds and more, it will take care of COVID patients more efficiently. That’s not the case at all, most of the COVID-19 cases are being managed by small hospitals with 100 or 50 beds and the irony is that they hardly have 5 or 10 beds with oxygen facilities. Now, we have to look at how do we make such hospitals make investments on converting their existing beds to COVID-19 apt beds or oxygen beds. Banks now days have started giving loans to hospitals at lesser interest rates if they want to invest in the upgradation of health facilities. State governments should also start giving some form of subsidy so that these small hospitals make those investments at the right time, which is now.

If we can make 18 cities in India oxygen independent, believe me there will not be lockdown. A lockdown basically happens when the medical system is overburdened, and doctors raises their hand and say we cannot do anything as we don’t have beds or facilities. However, if we strengthen the healthcare facilities only at the start, people will be managed better, and the wave will not be severe.

NDTV: What is the role of people and community in this fight against COVID-19?

Dr Devi Prasad Shetty: Every Indian should think that the fight against COVID-19 is not only government’s problem. It is the community’s problem, so they all should come together and ensure that the country becomes COVID-19 free as soon as possible. For example, if individuals start ensuring that their household and other people who are coming in their house are vaccinated, if there is a financial problem then you are supporting these people – i think it can be a game changer. Companies also should start taking responsibilities of their workers and ensure they are vaccinated. All this is community effort, all this together will help us win this battle. And obviously, all this along with masking and while you maintain social distancing.

Also Read: COVID-19 Explained: Will The COVID-19 Vaccine Be Effective Against The Latest Coronavirus Variant?

NDTV – Dettol Banega Swasth India campaign is an extension of the five-year-old Banega Swachh India initiative helmed by Campaign Ambassador Amitabh Bachchan. It aims to spread awareness about critical health issues facing the country. In wake of the current COVID-19 pandemic, the need for WASH (WaterSanitation and Hygiene) is reaffirmed as handwashing is one of the ways to prevent Coronavirus infection and other diseases. The campaign highlights the importance of nutrition and healthcare for women and children to prevent maternal and child mortality, fight malnutrition, stunting, wasting, anaemia and disease prevention through vaccines. Importance of programmes like Public Distribution System (PDS), Mid-day Meal Scheme, POSHAN Abhiyan and the role of Aganwadis and ASHA workers are also covered. Only a Swachh or clean India where toilets are used and open defecation free (ODF) status achieved as part of the Swachh Bharat Abhiyan launched by Prime Minister Narendra Modi in 2014, can eradicate diseases like diahorrea and become a Swasth or healthy India. The campaign will continue to cover issues like air pollutionwaste managementplastic banmanual scavenging and sanitation workers and menstrual hygiene

World

22,95,44,435Cases
19,20,52,504Active
3,27,83,741Recovered
47,08,190Deaths
Coronavirus has spread to 195 countries. The total confirmed cases worldwide are 22,95,44,435 and 47,08,190 have died; 19,20,52,504 are active cases and 3,27,83,741 have recovered as on September 22, 2021 at 3:49 am.

India

3,35,31,498 26,964Cases
3,01,9897,586Active
3,27,83,741 34,167Recovered
4,45,768 383Deaths
In India, there are 3,35,31,498 confirmed cases including 4,45,768 deaths. The number of active cases is 3,01,989 and 3,27,83,741 have recovered as on September 22, 2021 at 2:30 am.

State Details

State Cases Active Recovered Deaths
Maharashtra

65,27,629 3,131

44,269 960

63,44,744 4,021

1,38,616 70

Kerala

45,39,926 15,768

1,61,765 5,813

43,54,264 21,367

23,897 214

Karnataka

29,69,361 818

13,769 617

29,17,944 1,414

37,648 21

Tamil Nadu

26,48,688 1,647

16,993 9

25,96,316 1,619

35,379 19

Andhra Pradesh

20,40,708 1,179

13,905 483

20,12,714 1,651

14,089 11

Uttar Pradesh

17,09,693 13

194 0

16,86,612 13

22,887

West Bengal

15,62,710 537

7,741 69

15,36,291 592

18,678 14

Delhi

14,38,556 39

400 21

14,13,071 18

25,085

Odisha

10,21,216 462

4,844 103

10,08,226 560

8,146 5

Chhattisgarh

10,05,120 26

297 0

9,91,260 26

13,563

Rajasthan

9,54,275 12

99 8

9,45,222 4

8,954

Gujarat

8,25,751 14

133 0

8,15,536 14

10,082

Madhya Pradesh

7,92,410 8

90 6

7,81,803 14

10,517

Haryana

7,70,754 8

328 12

7,60,618 20

9,808

Bihar

7,25,907 6

60 9

7,16,188 15

9,659

Telangana

6,63,906 244

4,938 53

6,55,061 296

3,907 1

Punjab

6,01,359 36

304 3

5,84,554 37

16,501 2

Assam

5,98,864 441

5,081 97

5,87,970 338

5,813 6

Jharkhand

3,48,139 14

65 10

3,42,941 4

5,133

Uttarakhand

3,43,405 12

249 18

3,35,765 29

7,391 1

Jammu And Kashmir

3,28,214 145

1,450 11

3,22,345 154

4,419 2

Himachal Pradesh

2,17,403 263

1,715 99

2,12,033 162

3,655 2

Goa

1,75,690 107

886 76

1,71,507 29

3,297 2

Puducherry

1,25,618 101

922 55

1,22,864 46

1,832

Manipur

1,18,870 197

2,174 9

1,14,861 203

1,835 3

Tripura

83,956 51

353 7

82,794 44

809

Mizoram

82,815 1,355

15,363 223

67,184 1,127

268 5

Meghalaya

79,817 150

1,878 18

76,558 167

1,381 1

Chandigarh

65,195 7

44 3

64,333 4

818

Arunachal Pradesh

54,190 64

413 3

53,504 60

273 1

Sikkim

31,014 43

627 27

30,007 70

380

Nagaland

30,959 52

470 3

29,832 46

657 3

Ladakh

20,743 6

144 6

20,392

207

Dadra And Nagar Haveli

10,670

0 0

10,666

4

Lakshadweep

10,360 1

9 1

10,300

51

Andaman And Nicobar Islands

7,607 7

17 4

7,461 3

129

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