With Limited Testing And Current Preventive Measures Can India Prevent Community Transmission Of COVID-19?

With Limited Testing And Current Preventive Measures Can India Prevent Community Transmission Of COVID-19?

Currently, India is in stage two of transmission, where the coronavirus infects people directly in contact with affected patients who returned from abroad
Coronavirus Outbreak, News, Swasth India
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With Limited Testing And Current Preventive Measures Can India Prevent Community Transmission Of COVID-19?For coronavirus, India has only been testing people coming from foreign countries and showing symptoms of COVID-19

New Delhi: India, the world’s second most populous country, with a population of 1.3 billion people currently (March 19) has 173 total coronavirus (COVID-19) cases. While the World Health Organization (WHO) has praised India for its efforts to fight against the novel coronavirus which has affected over 100 countries across the world, experts believe that limited tests might be masking the true toll of the disease in the country. Though WHO has stressed upon testing as many citizens as possible, India was only testing people coming from foreign countries and showing symptoms of coronavirus involving fever and dry cough.

Now the government has changed the policy and even those who are asymptomatic are being tested and quarantine of two weeks has been made mandatory for them, said Dr Anup Kumar, Professor and Head of Department of Urology at Safdarjung hospital.

Currently, India is in stage two of transmission, where the virus infects people directly in contact with affected patients who returned from abroad. According to Dr Anand Kumar Gupta, Associate Professor at Department of Pediatrics at Indira Gandhi Institute of Medical Sciences (IGIMS) in Patna, India has only 20-25 days to contain the virus in stage two.

Also Read: How To Fight Coronavirus: Doctor Answers Queries About COVID-19

If COVID-19 in India enters stage three which is called community transmission, the number of infected people will spike. The virus will transmit into the local population which has no travel history or had contact with anyone who travelled abroad and as such, the chain of transmission becomes impossible to trace.

Now, the question is, with current measures in place, can India prevent community spread of COVID-19? Talking about the progression of coronavirus in India and how close or far we are from entering stage three, Dr Swapneil Parikh, a practicing physician in Mumbai and co-author of The Coronavirus, said,

We do not know. We might already be there. We have to stop thinking that we have only 130 cases in India. We have 130 ‘confirmed’ cases. There may be many others who we have not tested, who might be infected, and who we don’t know about.

Also Read: Coronavirus 2019: World Health Organization Introduces #SafeHands Challenge To Promote Hand Hygiene And Prevent COVID-19

Further talking about India resorting to the policy of limited testing and how aggressive testing helped countries like South Korea, Dr Parikh said,

A country like India which has a population of 1.3 billion is only doing somewhere around 4 tests per million people whereas a country like South Korea which has really managed to control this disease has a population of about 50 million and has done so many tests (over 3,000) per million. We cannot know how much a disease is spreading in a country if we are testing few patients.

On Tuesday (March 17), the government announced that private laboratories will be roped in for testing of coronavirus. With this move, the rate of testing in India will increase significantly and will give a better picture of the spread of the pandemic.

Also Read: #SafeHands Challenge: Amid COVID-19, Deepika Padukone, Anushka Sharma, And Sachin Tendulkar Give Hand Washing Lesson

The Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), which is the nodal agency for the drive against coronavirus, recently did coronavirus test on 500 random samples of patients with symptoms of pneumonia and chest infection. The results have turned out to be negative. ICMR will be testing another batch of 500 samples.

At a time when there are asymptomatic carriers as well, testing becomes even more vital. Talking about when an individual should get tested, Dr Anand Kumar Gupta said,

Sneezing is not a prominent feature of COVID-19, it can be due to any viral disease or allergy. If you have a travel history or have come in contact with a suspected or confirmed case of coronavirus and have symptoms like dry cough, fever and breathing difficulty, then you should get tested else you can consult your physician.

Also Read: Are You Suffering From Cold, Flu Or Coronavirus? Doctors Explain How To Spot The Difference

Further talking about the increase in cases of coronavirus in India, Mr Parikh said,

When Italy was reporting 1,000 cases in their country, mathematical models suggested they had 4,000 cases. When Iran was reporting about 3,000 cases, mathematical model suggested they had 18,000. So, more than just the number of cases, what we have to look at is the rate at which they are increasing. If they are growing very quickly that’s a bad sign. In India, the cases have been doubling in every five to six days. This is what we call exponential growth.

The spread of the coronavirus which has been titled as a global pandemic by the WHO has created a panic like situation in various parts of the world because of which supermarkets and pharmacies are running out of hand sanitisers, masks and other essentials. According to the experts, ensuring hand hygiene by washing hands with water and soap or using an alcohol-based rub is one of the basic steps towards preventing the spread of COVID-19. But at a time when hand sanitisers are out of stock, what should one do? Suggesting an easy and low cost way of making sanitiser at home, Dr Anup Kumar said,

Buy 100 per cent alcohol which comes at very cheap price. Take 70 ml of 100 per cent alcohol and dilute it with aloe vera gel or normal saline and add some fragrance.

Also Read: Are Hand Sanitisers Effective In Preventing Coronavirus? All You Need To Know

To contain the spread of the virus, the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare (MOHF&W) has issued an advisory on social distancing and preventive measures like the closure of all educational establishments, suggesting employers to consider work from home for their employees, asking people to avoid social gathering, among others.
Talking about how social distancing and self-quarantine will help break the chain, Dr Gupta said,

The virus has taken the droplet route which means when an infected person coughs or sneezes, the virus travels upto 3 meters. For instance, there are 1000 people in a park, including an infected person. If an infected person will sneeze, he can infect at least 500 people. Currently, the mortality rate is only 3 per cent, but if we don’t do anything to contain it, this virus will infect around 70 per cent of the population and then imagine the number of deaths it will cause. This will put a large burden on our healthcare sector.

Also Read: Here’s What The Government Means When It Asks You To Practice Social Distancing As A Precaution Against COVID-19

Till today (March 19), in India, 20 of the infected patients have recovered. But, in China cases of relapse have been recorded. Talking about the whether coronavirus can happen twice and in what time frame Dr Parikh said,

Early reports from New York and Italy are suggesting that there might be a biphasic pattern – patients seem to recover for a while, they get a little better for a short while and then the situation suddenly worsens. We also see this in diseases like dengue and during that period, the levels of virus in secretions may decrease temporarily. So, if a test is done, it may appear negative and then if you test again later it may appear positive, again. However, we don’t know yet whether they are biphasic or if there are reinfections.

Currently, there is no vaccine available for coronavirus and this is what makes the disease even more deadly.

Also Read: Kerala Leads The Way In Fighting Novel Coronavirus, Here’s How Other States Can Follow

World

1,12,65,793Cases
46,75,602Active
60,59,441Recovered
5,30,750Deaths
Coronavirus has spread to 188 countries. The total confirmed cases worldwide are 1,12,65,793 and 5,30,750 have died; 46,75,602 are active cases and 60,59,441 have recovered as on July 5, 2020 at 4:18 am.

India

6,73,165 24850Cases
2,44,814 9381Active
4,09,083 14856Recovered
19,268 613Deaths
In India, there are 6,73,165 confirmed cases including 19,268 deaths. The number of active cases is 2,44,814 and 4,09,083 have recovered as on July 5, 2020 at 2:30 am.

State & District Details

State Cases Active Recovered Deaths
DistrictCases
Akola757
Aurangabad1974
Dhule228
Jalgaon1039
Mumbai45478
Mumbai Suburban5363
Nagpur692
Nashik1575
Palghar1421
Pune9920
Satara629
Solapur1291
Thane13660
Yavatmal150
Ahmednagar190
Amravati291
Beed54
Bhandara41
Buldhana88
Chandrapur32
Hingoli208
Jalna201
Kolhapur646
Latur139
Nanded176
Nandurbar42
Parbhani78
Raigad1462
Ratnagiri350
Sangli145
Gadchiroli42
gondia69
Osmanabad125
Sindhudurg114
Wardha11
Washim13

200064 7074

83311 3384

108082 3395

8671 295

DistrictCases
Chittoor319
Guntur511
Krishna557
Kurnool795
Sri Potti Sriramulu Nell*296
Anantapur428
East Godavari356
Prakasam104
Srikakulam183
Visakhapatnam103
West Godavari199
Y.S.R.205
Vizianagaram23

17699 765

9473 377

8008 376

218 12

DistrictCases
Bengaluru Rural40
Bengaluru Urban529
Mysuru107
Bagalkote103
Ballari60
Belagavi337
Bidar219
Chikkaballapura149
Dakshina Kannada179
Dharwad61
Gadag45
Kalaburagi669
Mandya346
Tumakuru36
Uttara Kannada95
Vijayapura201
Chamarajanagara0
Chikkamagaluru19
Chitradurga14
Davangere204
Hassan205
Haveri24
Kodagu4
Kolar29
Koppal5
Raichur369
Ramanagara3
Shivamogga67
Udupi1176
Yadgir538

21549 1839

11970 1358

9244 439

335 42

DistrictCases
North Goa57
South Goa69

1684 202

853 109

825 91

6 2

DistrictCases
Chengalpattu1314
Chennai23324
Kanchipuram503
Madurai322
Namakkal83
Ranipet133
Thanjavur130
Thiruvallur774
Thiruvarur67
Tiruppur116
Vellore71
Virudhunagar185
Ariyalur444
Coimbatore188
Cuddalore477
Dharmapuri15
Dindigul175
Erode75
Kallakurichi324
Kanniyakumari110
Karur88
Nagapattinam99
Perambalur133
Pudukkottai53
Ramanathapuram119
Salem258
Sivaganga46
Tenkasi103
The Nilgiris17
Theni129
Tiruchirappalli119
Tirunelveli433
Tirupathur45
Tiruvannamalai496
Tuticorin333
Villupuram509
Krishnagiri43

107001 4280

44959 2001

60592 2214

1450 65

DistrictCases
Kannur357
Kottayam73
Alappuzha76
Idukki40
Kasaragod333
Kollam118
Kozhikode90
Malappuram119
Palakkad224
Pathanamthitta98
Thiruvananthapuram104
Thrissur106
Ernakulam60
Wayanad36

5204 240

2131 33

3048 207

25

DistrictCases
Raipur46
Korba100
Balod41
Baloda Bazar85
Balrampur17
Bastar2
Bemetara21
Bijapur2
Bilaspur100
Dantewada0
Dhamtari6
Durg31
Gariyaband10
Janjgir-Champa56
Jashpur77
Kabirdham52
Kanker19
Kondagaon0
Korea39
Mahasamund54
Mungeli87
Narayanpur0
Raigarh47
Rajnandgaon52
Sukma0
Surajpur9
Surguja14

3161 96

598

2549 112

14

DistrictCases
Hyderabad2475
MedchalMalkajgiri75
Ranga Reddy183
Suryapet87
Vikarabad40
Warangal Urban32
Adilabad22
Jagitial77
Jangoan8
Jayashankar Bhupalapally9
Jogulamba Gadwal40
Kamareddy11
Karimnagar17
Khammam26
Kumuram Bheem Asifabad8
Mahabubnagar30
Mancherial43
Medak11
Nalgonda33
Narayanpet3
Nirmal21
Nizamabad76
RajannaSircilla16
Sangareddy26
Bhadradri Kothagudem5
Mahabubabad10
Mulugu3
Nagarkurnool8
Peddapalli5
Siddipet7
Wanaparthy1
Warangal Rural4
YadadriBhuvanagiri40

22312 1850

10487 503

11537 1342

288 5

DistrictCases
Baleshwar190
Bhadrak137
Jajapur322
Dhenkanal36
Kalahandi33
Kendrapara164
Khordha238
Koraput16
Sundargarh102
Anugul26
Balangir129
Bargarh16
Boudh34
Cuttack155
Deogarh33
Gajapati61
Ganjam581
Jagatsinghapur91
Jharsuguda8
Kandhamal28
Kendujhar34
Malkangiri20
Mayurbhanj73
Nabarangpur2
Nayagarh86
Nuapada69
Puri103
Rayagada2
Sambalpur16
Sonepur29

8601 495

2633 261

5934 229

34 5

DistrictCases
Barwani60
Bhopal1880
Dewas140
Dhar132
East Nimar266
Gwalior211
Indore3839
Jabalpur276
Ujjain799
Agar Malwa15
Alirajpur3
Betul35
Burhanpur351
Chhindwara16
Dindori29
Harda4
Hoshangabad37
Khargone196
Mandsaur112
Morena109
Raisen71
Ratlam51
Sagar228
Shajapur39
Shandol14
Sheopur26
Tikamgarh18
Vidisha37
Anuppur22
Ashoknagar13
Balaghat9
Bhind87
Chhatarpur35
Damoh26
Datia12
Guna8
Jhabua14
Katni3
Mandla15
Narsinghpur17
Neemuch319
Niwari0
Panna20
Rajgarh31
Rewa39
Satna24
Sehore12
Seoni2
Shivpuri15
Sidhi17
Singrauli13
Umaria10

14604 307

2772 117

11234 185

598 5

DistrictCases
Ahmadabad17125
Anand107
Arvalli134
Banas Kantha147
Bhavnagar146
Gandhinagar410
PanchMahals107
Surat2311
Vadodara1555
Bharuch56
Botad55
Chhotaudepur37
Dang5
Dohad43
GirSomnath45
Jamnagar63
Kachchh99
Kheda98
Mahesana159
Mahisagar125
Narmada25
Naysari35
Patan105
Rajkot135
SabarKantha101
Surendranagar55
Tapi6
Valsad47
Amreli16
DevbhumiDwarka22
Junagadh31
Morbi4
Porbandar11

35312 712

7981 218

25406 473

1925 21

DistrictCases
Ajmer379
Banswara91
Bharatpur563
Jaipur2177
Jhalawar329
Jodhpur1748
Kota503
Nagaur500
Alwar90
Barmer34
Bhilwara250
Bikaner112
Chittorgarh188
Churu81
Dausa61
Dholpur60
Dungarpur374
Hanumangarh31
Jaisalmer53
Jhunjhunu64
Karauli17
Pali352
Rajsamand140
SawaiMadhopur26
Sikar231
Tonk171
Udaipur724
Baran59
Bundi5
Ganganagar8
Jalore164
Pratapgarh14
Sirohi130

19532 480

3445 114

15640 359

447 7

DistrictCases
Faridabad867
Sonipat404
Ambala93
Bhiwani60
CharkiDadri43
Fatehabad38
Gurugram2950
Hisar98
Jhajjar114
Jind38
Kaithal48
Karnal104
Kurukshetra55
Nuh68
Palwal120
Panchkula39
Panipat78
Rohtak145
Sirsa50
Yamunanagar19
Mahendragarh47
Rewari56

16548 545

4031

12257 566

260 5

DistrictCases
Agra933
Aligarh215
Amroha80
Bareilly17
Bijnor157
Bulandshahr166
Firozabad190
Gautam Buddha Nagar1119
Kanpur Nagar286
Lucknow386
Mathura129
Meerut504
Moradabad252
Muzaffarnagar117
Rae Bareli78
Rampur203
Saharanpur298
Sant Kabeer Nagar132
Varanasi243
Auraiya37
Ayodhya120
Azamgarh138
Baghpat68
Bahraich73
Balrampur49
Banda27
Basti214
Bhadohi60
Budaun23
Etah52
Etawah46
Ghaziabad794
Ghazipur159
Gonda59
Gorakhpur166
Hapur225
Hardoi49
Jalaun41
Jaunpur194
Jhansi41
Kannauj69
Kasganj16
Kaushambi6
Mainpuri46
Mau48
Mirzapur22
Pilibhit15
Pratapgarh15
Prayagraj30
Sambhal116
Shamli40
Shravasti23
Sitapur32
Sultanpur97
Unnao42
Ambedkar Nagar92
Amethi206
Ballia60
Barabanki168
Chandauli38
Chitrakoot4
Deoria143
Farrukhabad36
Fatehpur3
Hamirpur3
Hathras43
Kanpur Dehat4
Kheri72
Kushi Nagar67
Lalitpur3
Maharajganj85
Mahoba3
Shahjahanpur25
Siddharth Nagar159
Sonbhadra10

26554 757

7627 176

18154 557

773 24

DistrictCases
Central4817
East2472
New Delhi3405
North3059
North East1914
North West5463
Shahdara1580
South2329
South East2446
South West2391
West4768

97200 2505

25940

68256 2632

3004 81

DistrictCases
Dhubri30
Goalpara19
Marigaon50
Baksa14
Barpeta28
Biswanath16
Bongaigaon12
Cachar80
Charaideo29
Chirang6
Darrang20
Dhemaji47
Dibrugarh61
Dima Hasao86
Golaghat203
Hailakandi57
Hojai89
Jorhat24
Kamrup42
Kamrup Metro276
KarbiAnglong13
Karimganj85
Kokrajhar37
Lakhimpur57
Majuli2
Nagaon143
Nalbari23
Sivasagar20
Sonitpur27
South SalmaraMancachar4
Tinsukia84
Udalguri28
West KarbiAnglong5

10668 995

3997 687

6657 308

14

DistrictCases
East District3
North District0
South District3
West District0

103 1

45

58 5

0

DistrictCases
Buxar134
Gaya115
Munger188
Patna279
Rohtas256
Arwal52
Aurangabad75
Banka134
Begusarai243
Bhagalpur266
Bhojpur103
Darbhanga143
Gopalganj123
Jehanabad178
Kaimur (bhabua)105
Lakhisarai72
Madhepura82
Madhubani199
Nalanda123
Nawada122
PurbiChamparan138
Purnia135
Saran101
Siwan139
Vaishali87
Araria68
Jamui47
Katihar175
Khagaria253
Kishanganj75
Muzaffarpur96
Pashchim Champaran57
Saharsa88
Samastipur139
Sheikhpura118
Sheohar20
Sitamarhi73
Supaul87

11700 746

2925 265

8686 472

89 9

DistrictCases
24 Paraganas North1031
24 Paraganas South281
Darjeeling97
Howrah1435
Jalpaiguri88
Kalimpong18
Kolkata2777
Maldah235
Medinipur East153
Medinipur West159
Hooghly604
Murshidabad125
Nadia139
Paschim Bardhaman70
Purba Bardhaman130
Alipurduar39
Bankura116
Birbhum206
Coochbehar210
Dinajpur Dakshin50
Dinajpur Uttar216
Jhargram9
Purulia66

21231 743

6329 129

14166 595

736 19

DistrictCases
South Andamans33
Nicobars1
North And Middle Andaman1

119 3

53

66 12

0

DistrictCases
Pondicherry111
Karaikal2
Mahe4
Yanam0

802

459

331

12

DistrictCases
Anjaw0
Changlang31
Dibang Valley0
East Kameng0
East Siang1
Kamle0
KraDaadi0
KurungKumey0
Leparada0
Lohit3
Longding0
Lower Dibang Valley0
Lower Siang0
Lower Subansiri0
Namsai2
PakkeKessang1
Papum Pare8
Shi Yomi0
Siang0
Tawang1
Tirap0
Upper Siang1
Upper Subansiri0
West Kameng0
West Siang1

259 7

182 6

76 1

1

DistrictCases
Dimapur20
Kiphire3
Kohima7
Longleng0
Mokokchung0
Mon8
Peren2
Phek1
Tuensang3
Wokha0
Zunheboto0

563 24

335 24

228

0

DistrictCases
Dadra And Nagar Haveli20

0

0

0

0

DistrictCases
Ranchi148
Bokaro16
Deoghar5
Dhanbad32
Garhwa80
Giridih19
Hazaribagh110
Jamtara2
Koderma58
Simdega48
Chatra1
Dumka5
East Singhbum170
Godda2
Gumla28
Khunti10
Latehar14
Lohardaga8
Pakur4
Palamu27
Ramgarh75
Sahebganj0
SaraikelaKharsawan20
West Singhbhum21

2739 44

687 8

2035 34

17 2

DistrictCases
Gomati74
North Tripura14
Dhalai196
Khowai24
Sepahijala174
South Tripura53
Unakoti49
West Tripura45

1546 21

343 18

1202 3

1

DistrictCases
Kargil77
LehLadakh43

1005 4

178

826 49

1

DistrictCases
Anantnag395
Bandipora175
Shopian255
Srinagar300
Baramulla271
Budgam110
Ganderbal37
Jammu138
Kathua53
Kulgam295
Kupwara231
Rajouri39
Ramban151
Reasi26
Samba25
Udhampur155
Mirpur0
Muzaffarabad0
Doda27
Kishtwar10
Poonch35
Pulwama108

8246 227

2976 151

5143 68

127 8

DistrictCases
Chamba29
Hamirpur117
Kangra105
Sirmaur11
Solan32
Una41
Bilaspur21
Kinnaur2
Kullu4
Lahaul And Spiti0
Mandi21
Shimla10

1046 13

331

704 37

11 1

DistrictCases
Jalandhar297
Ludhiana293
Patiala132
Amritsar485
Barnala25
Faridkot74
Firozepur50
Gurdaspur154
Hoshiarpur140
Kapurthala44
Mansa31
Moga65
Pathankot86
S.A.S Nagar137
Sangrur107
Shahid Bhagat Singh Nagar (Nawanshahr)99
Sri Muktsar Sahib71
Tarn Taran163
Bathinda60
Fatehgarh Sahib57
Fazilka53
Rupnagar (Ropar)74

6109 172

1641 127

4306 40

162 5

DistrictCases
Haridwar94
Dehradun370
Nainital323
Almora71
Bageshwar31
Chamoli36
Champawat45
PauriGarhwal36
Pithoragarh43
Rudraprayag30
Tehri Garhwal110
Udam Singh Nagar83
Uttar Kashi24

3093 45

549 24

2502 21

42

DistrictCases
Bishnupur7
Chandel5
Churachandpur32
Imphal East10
Imphal West21
Jiribam3
Kakching2
Kamjong5
Kangpokpi26
Noney1
Pherzawl3
Senapati6
Tamenglong2
Tengnoupal9
Thoubal18
Ukhrul4

1325 9

658

667 28

0

DistrictCases
Chandigarh313

460 3

59 1

395 2

6

DistrictCases
East Khasi Hills22
East Garo Hills0
East Jaintia Hills0
North Garo Hills1
Ribhoi0
South Garo Hills0
South West Garo Hills4
South West Khasi Hills0
West Garo Hills5
West Jaintia Hills1
West Khasi Hills1

62

18

43

1

DistrictCases
Aizawl10
Champhai0
Hnahthial0
Khawzawl0
Kolasib11
Lawngtlai2
Lunglei2
Mamit8
Saiha0
Saitual1
Serchhip0

164 2

34

130 4

0

DistrictCases
Lakshadweep District0

0

0

0

0

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