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AIIMS Director On COVID-19 Spike In Delhi And How Air Pollution Increases The Number And Severity Of Cases

AIIMS Director Dr Randeep Guleria talks about a spike in COVID-19 cases in Delhi, the link between air pollution and COVID and the need for citizen moment

AIIMS Director On COVID-19 Spike In Delhi And How Air Pollution Increases The Number And Severity Of Cases
Highlights
  • Both COVID-19 cases and air pollution level are on a rise in Delhi
  • Air pollution makes the chance of infection more severe: Dr Guleria
  • Dr Guleria asked citizens to be responsible and follow COVID behavior

New Delhi: For the last five days, Delhi has been reporting over 5,000 fresh cases of COVID-19 daily. With a sudden spike in cases, Delhi’s Coronavirus tally is nearing 4 lakh. According to Delhi Health Minister Satyendar Jain, there could be a possibility of the third wave of COVID-19 in Delhi. What’s adding to the Coronavirus pandemic is the annual problem of air pollution in the national capital and the onset of winters. The pollution levels in Delhi-NCR have been oscillating between ‘poor’ and ‘very poor’ category. According to the data by Central Pollution Control Board, as of November 2, 4 PM, Delhi has an air quality index of 293 falling in the ‘poor’ category. According to health experts, air pollution might aggravate COVID-19. NDTV spoke to Dr Randeep Guleria, Director, AIIMS, to understand the COVID trends in Delhi and the plausible effect of the upcoming festive season.

Also Read: With Rise In COVID-19 Cases In Delhi, Health Minister Satyendar Jain Hints At The Possibility Of The Third Wave

NDTV: Delhi has reported a new peak and is recording over 5,000 positive cases. What does this tell us? Are we looking at a third wave?

Dr Randeep Guleria: In my mind, to say, it’s a third wave, you have to have a second wave coming down to an extent that you say cases were down significantly for a sufficiently long period of time. When we had the second wave, the cases went up to around 4,000 or more and they came down to 2,000 but not for a substantially long time. This is just a resurgence of the second wave. We are still seeing an ongoing trend as far as the number of cases is concerned. It is a cause of concern because unlike what we are seeing in other parts of the country where cases are coming down, Delhi is showing an increase in the number of cases and there can be multiple factors to account for this.

Also Read: Is The COVID-19 Situation Worsening In Delhi? National Capital Growing Coronavirus Cases Explained

NDTV: The Union Health Ministry said very categorically that air pollution is actually one of the factors leading to a spike in these cases – about 46 per cent spike in cases in the capital in the past month. How much do you think air pollution contributes to these COVID-19 cases?

Dr Randeep Guleria: There is data that is emerging and looking at the link between COVID and air pollution. There has been one paper published even in the past which looked at SARS infection in China and air pollution showing there was an increase in the severity of cases wherever there were higher levels of pollution. More recent data published from Northern Italy tends to show there is definitely a correlation that they found between air pollution and COVID cases both in terms of the number of cases and the severity of cases. That had suggested that with each one unit increase in PM2.5 the cases may go up by almost 9 per cent. Therefore, air pollution leads to a higher chance of the virus staying in the environment and it also causes inflammation of the lungs and therefore, it also predisposes to more severe infection as far as COVID-19 is concerned. The rise in air pollution, fall in temperature which also promotes more respiratory viral infection, all are contributing to a higher number of cases as far as Delhi is concerned.

Also Read: Delhi CM Launches ‘Green Delhi’ App To Increase Citizen Participation In The Fight Against Air Pollution

NDTV: Would it be fair to say that air pollution is contributing or are you suggesting that it makes the virus more lethal in a way?

Dr Randeep Guleria: Air pollution makes the chance of infection more severe. Air pollution also causes inflammation of the lungs causing a higher chance of respiratory problems. So, air pollution leads to both increasing the number of cases but also increasing the severity of those cases. We already know that people who have compromised lungs, who have comorbidities tend to get worsening of their lung condition or heart condition because of air pollution. If COVID also causes inflammation then this will lead to much more severe illness in these individuals. There is a likelihood that you will not only have more cases but the severity may also go up. Therefore, in my mind, it is very important for us to work aggressively in trying to see whether we can for this year at least decrease air pollution to a significant extent.

Also Read: Air Pollution Rises In Delhi-NCR, Gurugram Citizens Call For Action Against Waste Burning And Tackle It Like COVID-19

NDTV: What is your prescription for that? Is it time that Delhi actually moves to N95 masks as well because just a cloth cover won’t cut it?

Dr Randeep Guleria: Two things; firstly, we should ask all individuals to follow COVID appropriate behaviour that is very important because we have to decrease the number of cases as far as COVID-19 is concerned. Secondly, for air pollution, we should be very vigilant and especially those who are at a higher risk – the elderly or those who have chronic respiratory or heart disease – should be careful about going out especially when the air quality is bad. They should avoid going out if possible or go out only at times when the AQI improves or when it is bright and sunny. The warm air causes the ground level pollutants to rise. Those who are having respiratory problems or chronic heart problems need to be careful and may need to wear a mask which also protects them against PM2.5.

Also Read: Doctors In Delhi See Jump In Breathing Issues Amid COVID-19, Pollution

NDTV: All those cyclists in the morning who have been stepping out; that has been a trend that we have seen especially during the pandemic; what would you recommend them?

Dr Randeep Guleria: If you look at the data, air quality is quite bad in the early morning hours. Especially those cyclists who have respiratory problems, allergies, and other chronic illnesses should avoid cycling early in the morning. If they really want to cycle, they should do it later in the day. This is not the best time to be out early in the morning especially if your lungs or heart is not that good.

NDTV: We have seen the government take some steps as well; at least in the national Delhi we saw there were no Durga Puja Pandals this time around and no public gathering as such is happening but yet we are seeing a spike in cases. Would you say that at this time people are still meeting privately within their bubbles and that is also dangerous at this point?

Dr Randeep Guleria: That’s true. There has to be involvement of every citizen. The government can do its part in terms of the Druga Puja pandals or the other events that are banned or stopped. But you still have to be careful about the parties that you throw inside your house or the crowd that we see in market places which was not there in the past. If you look at how things were three to four months ago when we were lifting the lockdown, people were still very observant of the basic rules of maintaining physical distancing, they would form a line outside the market. They would only go to the market if they had to buy essential things and they would continue to follow COVID appropriate behavior. Currently, that is not happening. If you look at the traffic on the road, things at market places, you would feel there is no COVID and people are going around without wearing mask, and without any physical distancing. We are actually promoting the spread of virus in various areas and we have to take responsibility. It has to be a citizen moment in terms of decreasing the spread of infection and we have seen this. In countries where this has been done for example, in South East Asia, Vietnam, Taiwan, and South Korea, they have not seen another wave coming up. They have been able to have business usual without an increase in the number of cases because they had good behavioural practices. Whereas in other parts of the world, be it Europe or the United States where this was not followed, we are seeing a huge spike in the number of cases. We should learn from what has been there in other countries and try and do that in our country if we want to have our economy also working and at the same time saving lives.

Also Read: Meet 87-Year-Old Doctor Who Travels 15 Km Every Day To Treat Villagers In Maharashtra’s Chandrapur Amidst COVID-19 Pandemic

NDTV: What would your prescription be to those who are still carrying out with Diwali parties and card parties this season? If one is still catching up what would your advice to them be?

Dr Randeep Guleria: My advice is that for your own safety, for the safety of your friends and family, and for the general public, if for this year you were to forego all these events or postpone it till a better time then that will be helpful for everyone in terms of decreasing the number of cases and us coming back to normal on an earlier date rather than prolonging it. The more we do all of this, the more we are delaying the decrease in the number of cases and the more prolonged the pandemic will be in our country. Therefore, if we were to just for the next few weeks follow good COVID appropriate behavior we will be able to bring down the number of cases to an acceptable level and then we could be comfortable as far as life, in general, is concerned.

Also Read: “Respiratory Viruses Known To Thrive During Winters,” Warns Health Minister In His Weekly Address, Here Are Other Takeaways

NDTV – Dettol Banega Swasth India campaign is an extension of the five-year-old Banega Swachh India initiative helmed by Campaign Ambassador Amitabh Bachchan. It aims to spread awareness about critical health issues facing the country. In wake of the current COVID-19 pandemic, the need for WASH (WaterSanitation and Hygiene) is reaffirmed as handwashing is one of the ways to prevent Coronavirus infection and other diseases. The campaign highlights the importance of nutrition and healthcare for women and children to prevent maternal and child mortality, fight malnutrition, stunting, wasting, anaemia and disease prevention through vaccines. Importance of programmes like Public Distribution System (PDS), Mid-day Meal Scheme, POSHAN Abhiyan and the role of Aganwadis and ASHA workers are also covered. Only a Swachh or clean India where toilets are used and open defecation free (ODF) status achieved as part of the Swachh Bharat Abhiyan launched by Prime Minister Narendra Modi in 2014, can eradicate diseases like diahorrea and become a Swasth or healthy India. The campaign will continue to cover issues like air pollutionwaste managementplastic banmanual scavenging and sanitation workers and menstrual hygiene

World

24,50,12,529Cases
20,64,25,824Active
3,36,14,434Recovered
49,72,271Deaths
Coronavirus has spread to 195 countries. The total confirmed cases worldwide are 24,50,12,529 and 49,72,271 have died; 20,64,25,824 are active cases and 3,36,14,434 have recovered as on October 28, 2021 at 4:00 am.

India

3,42,31,809 16,156Cases
1,60,9891,672Active
3,36,14,434 17,095Recovered
4,56,386 733Deaths
In India, there are 3,42,31,809 confirmed cases including 4,56,386 deaths. The number of active cases is 1,60,989 and 3,36,14,434 have recovered as on October 28, 2021 at 2:30 am.

State Details

State Cases Active Recovered Deaths
Maharashtra

66,06,536 1,485

23,096 3,500

64,43,342 4,947

1,40,098 38

Kerala

49,38,603 9,445

77,158 2,100

48,31,468 6,723

29,977 622

Karnataka

29,86,835 282

8,459 80

29,40,339 349

38,037 13

Tamil Nadu

26,98,493 1,075

12,288 252

26,50,145 1,315

36,060 12

Andhra Pradesh

20,64,854 567

4,777 122

20,45,713 437

14,364 8

Uttar Pradesh

17,10,114 13

100 6

16,87,115 7

22,899

West Bengal

15,89,042 976

7,973 124

15,61,973 837

19,096 15

Delhi

14,39,709 38

348 25

14,14,270 13

25,091

Odisha

10,39,818 549

4,392 213

10,27,108 334

8,318 2

Chhattisgarh

10,05,926 28

263 14

9,92,088 12

13,575 2

Rajasthan

9,54,411 4

20 0

9,45,437 4

8,954

Gujarat

8,26,481 17

173 2

8,16,220 15

10,088

Madhya Pradesh

7,92,804 20

108 9

7,82,172 10

10,524 1

Haryana

7,71,204 15

133 5

7,61,022 10

10,049

Bihar

7,26,073 5

41 1

7,16,371 4

9,661

Telangana

6,70,829 186

4,164 63

6,62,714 122

3,951 1

Assam

6,09,506 244

3,838 153

5,99,681 391

5,987 6

Punjab

6,02,289 38

246 20

5,85,487 16

16,556 2

Jharkhand

3,48,705 28

160 30

3,43,408 56

5,137 2

Uttarakhand

3,43,861 17

150 6

3,36,312 23

7,399

Jammu And Kashmir

3,31,865 70

838 16

3,26,596 86

4,431

Himachal Pradesh

2,23,406 261

1,972 211

2,17,693 48

3,741 2

Goa

1,77,969 23

454 29

1,74,152 51

3,363 1

Puducherry

1,27,846 40

443 10

1,25,546 50

1,857

Manipur

1,23,473 70

844 29

1,20,712 97

1,917 2

Mizoram

1,19,496 547

7,320 446

1,11,752 991

424 2

Tripura

84,438 15

123 1

83,499 14

816

Meghalaya

83,466 51

507 22

81,511 71

1,448 2

Chandigarh

65,331 5

29 2

64,482 3

820

Arunachal Pradesh

55,120 6

115 22

54,725 28

280

Sikkim

31,925 13

177 1

31,353 12

395

Nagaland

31,759 12

222 3

30,856 15

681

Ladakh

20,925 8

47 6

20,670 2

208

Dadra And Nagar Haveli

10,682 1

6 0

10,672 1

4

Lakshadweep

10,365

0 0

10,314

51

Andaman And Nicobar Islands

7,650 2

5 1

7,516 1

129

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