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Third COVID Wave Will Peak By January End, May Get Over By Mid-March: IIT Professor

IIT professor Manindra Agrawal said that the COVID-19 cases will overtake the cases recorded during the second wave

Third COVID Wave Will Peak By January End, May Get Over By Mid-March: IIT Professor
Highlights
  • Cases in Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata likely to peak in the next few days: Expert
  • Delhi will report almost 40,000 cases per day at its peak: Professor
  • ‘Since this time the peak is coming up very rapidly, the rise is very sharp

Kanpur: Amid surge in COVID-19 infections in the country, IIT Kanpur professor Manindra Agrawal on Monday (January 10) stated that the peak of the infection will hit the nation in the January-end. He also said that the virus cases will overtake the cases recorded during the second wave. He also informed that the cases will decline very sharply and by March, it will be over.

Also Read: India Starts Administration Of Booster Doses To Healthcare, Frontline Workers, Senior Citizens: 10 Things To Know

As per preliminary data, cases (nationally) will peak by the end of this month and are likely to cross second wave numbers. Since this time the peak is coming up very rapidly, the rise is very sharp, Manindra Agrawal told ANI.

“We expect the decline also to be equally sharp and if the peak hits in January, then by the middle of March, the wave will be over,” he said.

The IIT Kanpur professor stated that as Delhi is reporting more than 22,000 cases per day, the national capital will report almost 40,000 cases per day at its peak which is expected to hit in mid-January.

Cases in Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata are likely to peak around the middle of this month, in the next few days in fact. But this wave will be almost over by the end of this month in these cities, he said.

Also Read: Decision on Booster Dose Timely, Says IMA’s General Secretary On Rising Omicron Cases: 5 Points

On election rallies that can spread the virus, he said, “If you look at only election rallies as a cause for the spread, that is wrong. Many things called the spreading and election rallies are just one of them. And if one believes that just by stopping election rallies, you will stop the spread that is not correct.”

Professor Agrawal with other researchers runs the SUTRA computer model that tracks the COVID-19 curve in the country.

India reported 1,79,723 new COVID-19 cases in the last 24 hours, taking the daily positivity rate in the country to 13.29 per cent, according to the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare on Monday.

A total of 4,033 cases of the Omicron variant of coronavirus have been reported so far. Maharashtra has reported the highest number of cases (1,216), followed by Rajasthan (529) and Delhi (513).

The Ministry further informed that the active caseload in the country currently stands at 7,23,619 which accounts for 2.03 per cent of the country’s total number of cases.

Also Read: Over 150 Crore Covid Vaccine Doses Administered In India: Centre

The weekly positivity rate currently stands at 7.29 per cent, while the daily positivity rate stands at 13.29 per cent.

Total cases of COVID-19 in the country have risen to 35,528,004.

As many as 46,569 patients recovered from the disease in the last 24 hours. The cumulative tally of COVID recovered patients now stands at 3,45,00,172. The recovery rate is at 96.62 per cent.

The country also reported 146 new deaths in the last 24 hours, taking the death toll to 4,83,936.

Also Read: Over 90% Of India’s Eligible Population Has Received A Dose Of Covid Vaccine: PM Modi

(Except for the headline, this story has not been edited by NDTV staff and is published from a syndicated feed.)

NDTV – Dettol have been working towards a clean and healthy India since 2014 via Banega Swachh India initiative, which is helmed by Campaign Ambassador Amitabh Bachchan. The campaign aims to highlight the inter-dependency of humans and the environment, and of humans on one another with the focus on One Health, One Planet, One Future – Leaving No One Behind. It stresses on the need to take care of, and consider, everyone’s health in India – especially vulnerable communities – the LGBTQ populationindigenous people, India’s different tribes, ethnic and linguistic minorities, people with disabilities, migrants, geographically remote populations, gender and sexual minorities. In wake of the current COVID-19 pandemic, the need for WASH (WaterSanitation and Hygiene) is reaffirmed as handwashing is one of the ways to prevent Coronavirus infection and other diseases. The campaign will continue to raise awareness on the same along with focussing on the importance of nutrition and healthcare for women and children, fight malnutrition, mental wellbeing, self care, science and health, adolescent health & gender awareness. Along with the health of people, the campaign has realised the need to also take care of the health of the eco-system. Our environment is fragile due to human activity,  that is not only over-exploiting available resources, but also generating immense pollution as a result of using and extracting those resources. The imbalance has also led to immense biodiversity loss that has caused one of the biggest threats to human survival – climate change. It has now been described as a “code red for humanity.” The campaign will continue to cover issues like air pollutionwaste managementplastic banmanual scavenging and sanitation workers and menstrual hygiene. Banega Swasth India will also be taking forward the dream of Swasth Bharat, the campaign feels that only a Swachh or clean India where toilets are used and open defecation free (ODF) status achieved as part of the Swachh Bharat Abhiyan launched by Prime Minister Narendra Modi in 2014, can eradicate diseases like diahorrea and the country can become a Swasth or healthy India.

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