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Fresh Rise In COVID-19 Cases, Wave Or A Ripple?

Experts tell NDTV that despite the uptick in the new cases, the situation is not something unexpected

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Fresh Rise In COVID-19 Cases, Wave Or A Ripple?
Mandira Agrawal, Professor, IIT Kanpur says that it is highly unlikely that India would face another wave of infection in the near future

New Delhi: COVID-19 cases are suddenly on an uptick once again. Delhi and NCR region has seen quite a significant spike in the last few days. With the debates and discussions regarding the relaxations in COVID protocols, the question arises, has India lowered its guard against the virus?

Dr Shahid Jameel, Senior Virologist and Fellow, Oxford University, tells NDTV that despite the uptick in the new cases, the situation is not something unexpected. He explained,

This was something expected, especially with the schools opening up. Children are the least vaccinated group in the country at present. So it is expected that the cases would go up but we need to remember that children also have the least serious disease. So the one thing that we have learned going forward is that, yes cases cause a bit of worry, but it’s really serious cases, hospitalisation rates that we should actually be worried about. Because time and again we have seen that people who are vaccinated do get infected and those who have been infected before also get reinfected. I’m not surprised this is happening.

Also Read: Nearly 48 Per Cent Rise In Home Isolation Cases Of Covid In A Week In Delhi: Report

NDTV asked Dr Suneela Garg, Lancet COVID Taskforce, Advisor ICMR, if the new cases are being caused by Omicron or a new variant like XE.

Dr Garg assured that the infections are not being caused by a new variant and that it is Omicron that is responsible for new cases. She said,

This is not a new variant, it is Omicron. The ripples can’t be called a wave. We have to understand that as we give up on the COVID protocols, this may happen. When vaccines were not available, masks were a very important social vaccine. This is where when we look at the increasing number of cases, this could be due to lack of smart surveillance and testing because we shouldn’t give up on this strategy along with COVID appropriate behaviour.

Another important thing that Dr Garg pointed out is that we have to consider the threat faced by the elderly population and the immunocompromised due to this virus and hence, not give up the covid appropriate behaviour. She also highlights the need to have a strategy in place to manage infections arising in schools. She said,

We need to have a smart surveillance strategy along with a school strategy. We can’t keep on shutting down the schools and then opening them back up. We are among the only five countries in the world that shut schools during the pandemic. It is very important to get this message loud and clear that parents, and teachers shouldn’t panic.

Also Read: Is India On A Verge Of Fourth Wave? Top Scientist Dr Gagandeep Kang Says ‘Rise In India’s Cases Not A Sign Of A New Wave’

Dr Hemant P Thacker, Member, COVID Taskforce tells NDTV how important masks is at a stage where we are all returning to the normal way of life. He explains,

Remember a mask is not only going to protect you against COVID but it will protect you against so many other respiratory and pollution diseases. Except for the fact that you might remove your mask when there is a very very large distance possible indoors, I still think we must have a mandate for masks in crowded areas, malls, railways stations, and trains. When it comes to fining people, I think in India, unless there is a strict approach, it is difficult to mandate rules. We need to do a little bit of arm twisting to ensure that the COVID numbers remain low. We need to understand that we have to live with COVID, like influenza we can have small ripples, and that ripple could become a wave in the form of numbers. It may not be a wave in the form of the disease but you can have high numbers.

Dr Thacker insists that we all ‘let common sense rule and continue following COVID protocols for at least 3-4 more months.’

Meanwhile, Professor Mandira Agrawal, Professor, IIT Kanpur says that it is highly unlikely that India would face another wave of infection in the near future. He explains,

Based on the data that we have analysed and continue to analyse, I don’t see any other wave in the near future. Unless there is a new mutant, which I’ve been informed that there doesn’t seem to be one. Against the existing variants, we already have a significant amount of immunity among people. So I don’t see how we can see that go and see a major wave in upcoming days, it seems very unlikely, he signed out.

NDTV – Dettol have been working towards a clean and healthy India since 2014 via the Banega Swachh India initiative, which is helmed by Campaign Ambassador Amitabh Bachchan. The campaign aims to highlight the inter-dependency of humans and the environment, and of humans on one another with the focus on One Health, One Planet, One Future – Leaving No One Behind. It stresses on the need to take care of, and consider, everyone’s health in India – especially vulnerable communities – the LGBTQ populationindigenous people, India’s different tribes, ethnic and linguistic minorities, people with disabilities, migrants, geographically remote populations, gender and sexual minorities. In wake of the current COVID-19 pandemic, the need for WASH (WaterSanitation and Hygiene) is reaffirmed as handwashing is one of the ways to prevent Coronavirus infection and other diseases. The campaign will continue to raise awareness on the same along with focussing on the importance of nutrition and healthcare for women and children, fight malnutrition, mental wellbeing, self care, science and health, adolescent health & gender awareness. Along with the health of people, the campaign has realised the need to also take care of the health of the eco-system. Our environment is fragile due to human activity, which is not only over-exploiting available resources, but also generating immense pollution as a result of using and extracting those resources. The imbalance has also led to immense biodiversity loss that has caused one of the biggest threats to human survival – climate change. It has now been described as a “code red for humanity.” The campaign will continue to cover issues like air pollutionwaste managementplastic banmanual scavenging and sanitation workers and menstrual hygiene. Banega Swasth India will also be taking forward the dream of Swasth Bharat, the campaign feels that only a Swachh or clean India where toilets are used and open defecation free (ODF) status achieved as part of the Swachh Bharat Abhiyan launched by Prime Minister Narendra Modi in 2014, can eradicate diseases like diahorrea and the country can become a Swasth or healthy India.

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